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Covid-19 DATA - Daily Updated (US orientated only).
Cut off Time is EDT - 4:00PM
Date States Tested Tot. Tested Positive Tot. Tested Negative Total Tests Pending Hospitalized Currently In ICU Currently On Ventilator Currently Total Recovered Total Deaths Total Tested D2D Tot. Tested D2D Test Positive D2D Test Negative D2D Hos-pilatized D2D In ICU D2D on Ventilator D2D Recovered D2D Deaths Recover Rate % Death/Pos Tested % Death/US Pop.
20200412 56 576,774 2,358,232 17,159 50,968 13,632 6,168 35,442 23,369 2,935,006 129,114 24,948 104,166 -445 -285 182 1,291 1,450 6.145 4.052 0.0071
20200412 56 551,826 2,254,066 16,419 51,413 13,917 5,986 34,151 21,919 2,805,892 140,226 28,983 111,243 4 354 8 9,955 1,564 6.189 3.972 0.0067
20200411 56 522,843 2,142,823 16,593 51,409 13,563 5,978 24,196 20,355 2,665,666 136,384 29,591 106,793 2,941 865 41 801 1,867 4.628 3.893 0.0062
20200410 56 493,252 2,036,030 17,435 48,468 12,698 5,937 23,395 18,488 2,529,282 153,927 34,617 119,310 1,792 444 143 2,233 2,064 4.743 3.748 0.0056
20200409 56 458,635 1,916,720 17,622 46,676 12,254 5,794 21,162 16,424 2,375,355 162,789 34,346 128,443 5,565 2,322 1,663 1,784 1,877 4.614 3.581 0.0050
20200408 56 424,289 1,788,277 17,219 41,111 9,932 4,131 19,378 14,547 2,212,566 139,536 30,133 109,403 1,434 57 55 901 1,901 4.567 3.429 0.0044
20200407 56 394,156 1,678,874 16,548 39,677 9,875 4,076 18,477 12,646 2,073,030 148,099 30,437 117,662 7,467 2,932 1,115 1,893 1,926 4.688 3.208 0.0039
20200406 56 363,719 1,561,212 17,283 32,210 6,943 2,961 16,584 10,720 1,924,931 149,248 28,752 120,496 3,720 1,266 2,309 2,042 1,166 4.560 2.947 0.0033
20200405 56 334,967 1,440,716 17,303 28,490 5,677 652 14,542 9,554 1,775,683 122,603 25,974 96,629 1,542 294 -4 1,702 1,175 4.341 2.852 0.0029
20200404 56 308,993 1,344,087 15,569 26,948 5,383 656 12,840 8,379 1,653,080 229,268 33,536 195,732 3,123 572 51 1,979 1,353 4.155 2.712 0.0026
20200403 56 275,457 1,148,355 61,976 23,825 4,811 605 10,861 7,026 1,423,812 132,011 32,054 99,957 2,690 401 31 2,275 1,191 3.943 2.551 0.0021
20200402 56 243,403 1,048,398 62,097 21,135 4,410 574 8,586 5,835 1,291,801 121,955 28,074 93,881 1,727 473 13 1,502 1,089 3.527 2.397 0.0018
20200401 56 215,329 954,517 59,665 19,408 3,937 561 7,084 4,746 1,169,846 103,481 25,251 78,230 2,055 450 54 1,418 943 3.290 2.204 0.0014
20200331 56 190,078 876,287 59,518 17,353 3,487 507 5,666 3,803 1,066,365 106,972 24,481 82,491 2,137 400 56 1,106 820 2.981 2.001 0.0012
20200330 56 165,597 793,796 65,369 15,216 3,087 451 4,560 2,983 959,393 118,644 21,220 97,424 1,715 631 12 499 516 2.754 1.801 0.0009
20200329 56 144,377 696,372 65,545 13,501 2,456 439 4,061 2,467 840,749 93,086 19,493 73,593 1,629 282 49 913 466 2.813 1.709 0.0008
20200328 56 124,884 622,779 65,709 11,872 2,174 390 3,148 2,001 747,663 107,930 19,400 88,530 1,361 382 66 726 427 2.521 1.602 0.0006
20200327 56 105,484 534,249 60,091 10,511 1,792 324 2,422 1,574 639,733 110,641 18,673 91,968 3,124 493 66 2,325 366 2.296 1.492 0.0005
20200326 56 86,811 442,281 60,251 7,387 1,299 258 97 1,208 529,092 96,393 17,303 79,090 6,647 1,299 91 -50 277 0.112 1.392 0.0004
20200325 56 69,508 363,191 51,235 740   167 147 931 432,699 83,540 16,934 66,606 371 0 167 147 225 0.211 1.339 0.0003
20200324 56 52,574 296,585 14,433 369       706 349,159 66,394 9,969 56,425 302 0 0 0 197 0.000 1.343 0.0002
20200323 56 42,605 240,160 14,571 67       509 282,765 55,331 10,277 45,054 11 0 0 0 83 0.000 1.195 0.0002
20200322 56 32,328 195,106 2,842 56       426 227,434 46,219 8,649 37,570 56 0 0 0 129 0.000 1.318 0.0001
20200321 56 23,679 157,536 3,468         297 181,215 44,815 6,249 38,566 0 0 0 0 50 0.000 1.254 0.0001
20200320 56 17,430 118,970 3,330         247 136,400 35,383 5,352 30,031 0 0 0 0 62 0.000 1.417 0.0001
20200319 56 12,078 88,939 3,016         185 101,017 25,743 3,972 21,771 0 0 0 0 43 0.000 1.532 0.0001
20200318 56 8,106 67,168 2,526         142 75,274 21,183 2,068 19,115 0 0 0 0 23 0.000 1.752 0.0000
20200317 56 6,038 48,053 1,687         119 54,091 13,685 1,736 11,949 0 0 0 0 22 0.000 1.971 0.0000
20200316 56 4,302 36,104 1,691         97 40,406 14,327 847 13,480 0 0 0 0 21 0.000 2.255 0.0000
20200315 51 3,455 22,624 2,242         76 26,079 6,302 780 5,522 0 0 0 0 13 0.000 2.200 0.0000
20200314 51 2,675 17,102 1,236         63 19,777 3,998 509 3,489 0 0 0 0 8 0.000 2.355 0.0000
20200313 51 2,166 13,613 1,130         55 15,779 6,217 645 5,572 0 0 0 0 4 0.000 2.539 0.0000
20200312 51 1,521 8,041 673         51 9,562 2,194 259 1,935 0 0 0 0 8 0.000 3.353 0.0000
20200311 51 1,262 6,106 563         43 7,368 2,549 255 2,294 0 0 0 0 6 0.000 3.407 0.0000
20200310 51 1,007 3,812 469         37 4,819 681 213 468 0 0 0 0 2 0.000 3.674 0.0000
20200309 51 794 3,344 313         35 4,138 1,240 231 1,009 0 0 0 0 4 0.000 4.408 0.0000
20200308 51 563 2,335 347         31 2,898 637 141 496 0 0 0 0 4 0.000 5.506 0.0000
20200307 51 422 1,839 602         27 2,261 377 126 251 0 0 0 0 1 0.000 6.398 0.0000
20200306 37 296 1,588 458         26 1,884 710 92 618 0 0 0 0 6 0.000 8.784 0.0000
20200305 25 204 970 197         20 1,174 258 47 211 0 0 0 0 4 0.000 9.804 0.0000
20200304 15 157 759 103         16 916 850 97 753 0 0 0 0 2 0.000 10.191 0.0000
20200303 2 60 6           14 66 31 25 6 0 0 0 0 3 0.000 23.333 0.0000
20200302 2 35             11 35 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.000 31.429 0.0000
20200301 2 31             8 31 13 13 0 0 0 0 0 3 0.000 25.806 0.0000
20200229 1 18             5 18 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.000 27.778 0.0000
20200228 1 9             4 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 44.444 0.0000
Date States Tested Tot. Tested Positive Tot. Tested Negative Total Tests Pending Hospitalized Currently In ICU Currently On Ventilator Currently Total Recovered Total Deaths Total Tested D2D Tot. Tested D2D Test Positive D2D Test Negative D2D Hos-pilatized D2D In ICU D2D on Ventilator D2D Recovered D2D Deaths Recover Rate % Death/Pos Tested % Death/US Pop.
Legend:
Date ----------------------- Date of collected data - Cut off at 4PM EDT
States Tested ----------- Nr of 'states' were data was collected from
Tot. Tested Positive --- Total nr of people to be found covid-19 Positive out of all the persons tested
Tot. Tested Negative -- Total nr of people to be found covid-19 Negative out of all the persons tested
Tot. Tests Pending ----- Nr of people Tested that not have their results known yet
Hospilatized Currently- The total number of people currently hospilatized due to covid-19 infection
In ICU Currently --------- The total number of people currently in the ICU due to covid-19 infection
On Ventilator Currently - The total number of people currently on ventilator due to covid-19 infection
Total Recovered --------- The total nr of covid-19 infected people that were ever submitted in a hospital and recovered from the covid-19 infection
Total Deaths ------------- The total number of covid-19 infected people that were ever submitted in a hospital and died due that infection, or died outside a hospital due to a covid-19 infection
Total Tested ------------- The total number of people being tested and found to be either covid-19 Positive or Negative
D2D Tot. Tested--------- The number of people compared to the previous day being tested and found to be either covid-19 Positive or Negative
D2D Tested Positive --- The number of people compared to the previous day found to be covid-19 positive
D2D Tested Negative -- The number of people compared to the previous day found to be covid-19 negative
D2D Hospilatized ------- The number of people compared to the previous day being hospilatized due to covid-19 infection
D2D in ICU --------------- The number of people compared to the previous day being transferred to the ICU due to covid-19 infection
D2D on Ventilator ------ The number of people compared to the previous day being put on ventilator due to covid-19 infection
D2D Recovered --------- The number of people compared to the previous day that recovered from a covid-19 infection
D2D Deaths -------------- The number of people compared to the previous day that died due to a covid-19 infection, or died outside a hospital due to a covid-19 infection
Recover Rate % ---------- The percentage of people that recovered from a covid-19 infection, taken over the 'Tot. Tested Positive' number
Death / Positive Tested- The percentage of people that died due to a covid-19 infection, taken over the 'Tot. Tested Positive' number
Death / US Population -- The percentage of people that died due to a covid-19 infection, taken over the Total US population (328,200,000)
Data taken from source: https://covidtracking.com/data (I have removed 3 colums which I found unusable and extrapolated the data to show more information).
What can we see from this data ?
Clearly, the panic in the news is hugely blown out of proportions, as only a small percentage of covid-19 infected people is actually submitted in a hospital, and are generally not in a critical condition.
Of this small percentage admitted, an even smaller percentage of people is either transferred to the ICU for extensive care, or (even less) are put on a ventilator (less than 6500 ventilators ever !!!).
Is the covid-19 virus really so deadly ?
Interpreting the above data, (as of april 12), it can be estimated that between 40,507 and 46,000 persons could die due to a covid-19 infection.
Taking the age percentages of US popuation in considration and when taken the low end number (40,507):
617 persons age below 30 are statistical likely to die due to a covid-19 infection
450 persons age below 40 are statistical likely to die due to a covid-19 infection
490 persons age below 50 are statistical likely to die due to a covid-19 infection
2,074 persons age below 60 are statistical likely to die due to a covid-19 infection
6,792 persons age below 70 are statistical likely to die due to a covid-19 infection
12,279 persons age below 80 are statistical likely to die due to a covid-19 infection
17,805 persons age 80 or above are statistical likely to die due to a covid-19 infection
What would have happen if we did not put the whole USA in a kind of 'lock down' situation?
In that case (having analyzed a considerable amount of other data), it is/was likely to expect that about 20% of the US population would get 'sick' (20% = about 66,000,000 persons).
Much more then those 20% would likely be actually infected with the covid-19 virus, but only 20% would develop 'sickness'.
Out of those 20% becoming actuall sick from the covid-19 infection, it is likely that only 6% becomes sick enough to have a chace to die from it (6% of that 20% = 3,960,000 persons).
Doing noting to prevent such and let nature take its course, it could be estimated that 50% of those 6% invected would eventually die from the infection.
So it could be estimated that about (50% over 3,960,000) 1,980,000 persons would die due to a covid-19 infection, when letting nature take its course.
How does this compare to the regular flu (influenza) ? ( source: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm )
2017-2018 season - estimated:
45 million influenza illnesses
21 million influenza-associated medical visits
810,000 influenza-related hospitalizations
61,000 influenza-associated deaths
2018-2019 season - estimated:
35.5 million influenza illnesses
16.5 million influenza-associated medical visits
490,600 influenza-related hospitalizations
34,200 influenza-associated deaths
So, assuming an estimated between 40,000 and 46,000 covid-19 associated deaths, it fits right in between the 2 previous seasons of general flu (influenza).
Assuming we had not done any 'lock down' situation, 1,980,000 deaths would be expected due to covid-19 infection, which is a 32 to 58 times higher dead rate.
So was a lockdown actually neccesary ?
Hmmm, YES and NO !
We could have not 'lock down' the US and just let nature take its cousre and let those 1,980,000 persons die due to the natural covid-19 virus attcak, but well, that's kind of a lot of people.
So, the 'lock down' was a good idea? Well, yes in my opinion it was a good idea, however in hindsight we have learned a lot and we can do better next time.
What did we learn? (My opinion)
At this point in time (as of april 12), it seems clear to me that a vaccine is not a good idea (for several reasons), but we can prevent a 'lock down' and high death rates.
Next time (for any given flu/corona virus), we should just be smart and take precautions by temporary increasing our immune system, and be careful with hygiene.
Also, A quick 'flu/corona' virus positive-negative check, would be extremely helpful (Which President Donald Trump is realizing on the go).
The below nutrition addition is (in my opinion) a good way to increase one's immune system temporary and could be considered safe for the 99.99% of people.
For flu/corona virus prevention: (can't for 100% prevent getting sick, but we can hugely increase our resistance and let our body take care of the virus infection attack (We give body armor).
When one suddenly feels a flue/corona virus attack, and (depending on one's own insight and age and optimally a pos/neg test), one could take the below nutrients:
Typically for persons age above 54, and/or feeling considerabe sick : [a drop is 0.05ml]
Vitamin C 2,000 mg , 3 times a day, day 1 to 14
Vit D3 3,500 IU , 3 times a day, day 1 to 14
Vit A1 10,000 IU , 3 times a day 1 to 7 (Day 8 to 14: 5,000 IU, 3 times a day)
Zinc Gluconate 250 mg , 3 times a day, day 1 to 7 (Day 8 to 14: 125 mg , 3 times a day)
Copper Sulfate 0.75 mg , 3 times a day, day 1 to 7 (Day 8 to 14: 0.4 mg , 3 times a day)
Lugols Solution (5%) 1 drop 2 times a day , day 1 to 7 (Day 8 to 14: 1 drop daily)
Herbal Capsule:, 3 times a day: 900 mg Turmeric powder + 100 mg Black Pepper +2 drops Turmeric oil + 2 drops Tea Tree oil.
Herbal Capsule, 3 times a day: 900 mg Cinnamon powder + 100 mg Ginger powder + 2 drops Cinnamon oil + 2 drops Cloves oil.
Herbal capsule, 3 times a day: 250 mg Quercetin.
Typically for persons age below 55, and/or feeling not so considerabe sick : [a drop is 0.05ml]
Vitamin C 1,000 mg , 3 times a day, day 1 to 14
Vit D3 2,000 IU , 3 times a day, day 1 to 14
Vit A1 5,000 IU , 3 times a day 1 to 7 (Day 8 to 14: 2,500 IU, 3 times a day)
Zinc Gluconate 150 mg , 3 times a day, day 1 to 7 (Day 8 to 14: 100 mg , 3 times a day)
Copper Sulfate 0.5 mg , 3 times a day, day 1 to 7 (Day 8 to 14: 0.25 mg , 3 times a day)
Lugols Solution (5%) 1 drop daily , day 1 to 14
Herbal Capsule, 3 times a day: 900 mg Turmeric powder + 100 mg Black Pepper +1 drop Turmeric oil + 1 drop Tea Tree oil.
Herbal Capsule, 3 times a day: 900 mg Cinnamon powder + 100 mg Ginger powder + 1 drop Cinnamon oil + 1 drop Cloves oil.
Herbal capsule, 3 times a day: 250 mg Quercetin.
Taking one of the above 14 days prevention plans will generally be enough to fight off a flu/Corona virus infection, and majority will recover without much trouble.
And in doing so, the total hopitalization of people having the yearly flu/corona virus will reduce greatly, as does the death rate.
However, during a flue/Corona season, people also need to be careful with their hygiene (cough/sneeze in elbow, don't touch face, wash hands more often)
In rare cases -when flue/Corona viral load is especially strong- it might be advisable to wear mouth/nose protection cap outside/at work, but generally this is not neccesary.
Note that for the Vitamin C, patients with kidney disease, G6PD deficiency, or hemochromatosis might be sensitive to the Vitamin C
It is always adviable to co-operate with your doctor, but remember it is YOUR choice
If conditions get worse or are not resolved after 14 days, you might want to contact your doctor and ask for a Hydrochloroquine,Azithromycin,Zinc prescription.
As for personal hygiene. During a flu season, we all should pay a little bit more attention to keep our hands away from our face and yes, wash them more often.
When cough or sneeze, do it at the inside of your elbow (always a good idea).
When a particular 'strong' flu virus hits, only then it might be useful to temporally wear a facemask outside/at work. however, for regular less aggressive flu virus it is not needed.
NOTE: I do NOT recommend taking vitamins,minerals,(extra/high dose) herbs when people are healthy. Healthy people do not need any 'extra' boosters.
However when and if yuou happen to catch a bacterial or viral infection, vitamins,minerals and herbs are a good way to go.
Using herbs in your daily food is a good idea.
Something to consider:
Did you ever considder to think in the following way:
Is it the Viruses and bacteria that get stronger, or is it the people that get weaker?
Did you know that during the 'worldwide lockdown' the world got MUCH more clean, in just a very short time period? (
Hint, go back many many ears, the time before all the 'heathy' oils, sugar and soda drinks. Think before 1950.
Do some online research yourself. Was there astronomical amounts of obesity, autism, heart problems, cancer etc etc?
Think about the words spoken here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t8Q6KnnPXDc ( even if you dislike orange guy bad. Think neutally and for yourself).